trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 31% | 0% | -8.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 31% | 0% | -8.3% |
| all | 24 | +3.1% | -6.7% | 50% | 4% | -6.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.7% | 4% | -6.9% |
| 10% | -15.7% | 4% | -15.8% |
| 15% | -23.8% | 4% | -24.0% |
| 20% | -31.3% | 4% | -31.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 23 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 03 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 02 | $59 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $86 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 31 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 30 | $82 | +$3 | +4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 30 | $62 | +$5 | +8% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 29 | $9 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 28 | $41 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election? | Mar 19 | $6 | −$6 | -87% |
| Will 'Opus' gross less than 3m on opening weekend? | Mar 18 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $91000 and $93000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $31 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in February 20 | Mar 12 | $31 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's address to Congress? | Mar 06 | $13 | +$18 | +133% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on March 5? | Mar 04 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on March 4? | Mar 03 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Lehigh vs. Loyola Maryland | Mar 03 | $20 | $0 | +0% |