trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +50.4% | +36.1% | 44% | 44% | +38.7% |
| ≤30d | 34 | +8.9% | -1.5% | 29% | 29% | -13.5% |
| ≤90d | 81 | +8.8% | -1.6% | 32% | 32% | -13.5% |
| all | 82 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 32% | 32% | -13.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.1% | 32% | -13.6% |
| 10% | -11.5% | 32% | -21.8% |
| 15% | -20.1% | 32% | -29.4% |
| 20% | -27.9% | 29% | -36.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 20¢ | 22¢ | $20 | $22 | +$2 (+8%) |
| Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 28¢ | 24¢ | $20 | $17 | −$2 (-12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$16 | +78% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$63 | +307% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$19 | +93% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$51 | +250% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$56 | +276% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$61 | +596% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $20 | +$22 | +106% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $201 | +$1,534 | +761% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $398 | −$390 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $205 | +$126 | +61% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $154 | −$150 | -97% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $113 | −$110 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $410 | −$400 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $154 | −$150 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20? | May 20 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 20 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $102 | +$177 | +174% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $305 | +$138 | +45% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 16 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $101 | +$50 | +50% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 14 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $102 | +$155 | +152% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $102 | −$20 | -20% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 11 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 11 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | May 06 | $10 | +$37 | +365% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 06 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 05 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $21 | +$113 | +550% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | May 04 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |