trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -58.9% | -62.8% | 25% | 25% | -26.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -26.9% | -33.9% | 50% | 40% | -14.9% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +12.2% | +1.5% | 58% | 50% | -12.4% |
| all | 19 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 42% | 37% | -17.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.4% | 37% | -17.0% |
| 10% | -28.0% | 21% | -24.9% |
| 15% | -35.0% | 21% | -32.2% |
| 20% | -41.4% | 16% | -38.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 21¢ | 21¢ | $220 | $221 | +$1 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1,303 | +$656 | +50% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $72 | −$70 | -97% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,012 | −$870 | -86% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? | Jun 10 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 01 | $5,000 | −$1,687 | -34% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $60 | +$42 | +70% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 29 | $5,000 | +$60 | +1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | May 25 | $4,969 | +$576 | +12% |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | May 19 | $3,146 | +$543 | +17% |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | May 18 | $1,133 | +$148 | +13% |
| Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in th | Apr 03 | $100 | +$403 | +403% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 19 | $190 | −$190 | -100% |
| Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in th | Mar 19 | $580 | −$580 | -100% |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | Mar 19 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 18 | $700 | +$307 | +44% |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Mar 09 | $360 | −$360 | -100% |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Mar 08 | $620 | −$39 | -6% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | Mar 06 | $574 | −$74 | -13% |