Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:34:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

15
0x1597…6ede
sports · 705 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,078 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,010 · open −$40
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,211
Realized−$2,010
Unrealized−$40
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses254 / 412
Est. fees paid−$105
Open positions39
Markets (closed)666 / 705
History coverage69d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day42.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 39 History 666 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,730
7 days−$1,730
14 days−$1,383
30 days−$1,767
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 76¢ 82¢ $135 $147 +$12 (+9%)
Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 1 Switzerland? No 99¢ 98¢ $121 $120 −$1 (-1%)
Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 3 Switzerland? No 99¢ 99¢ $119 $119 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 0 Switzerland? No 99¢ 99¢ $119 $119 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 2 Switzerland? No 99¢ 99¢ $89 $89 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Curaçao? No 99¢ 98¢ $79 $79 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Curaçao? No 99¢ 99¢ $75 $75 −$0 (-0%)
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 69¢ 69¢ $69 $69 +$0 (+1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 24¢ 19¢ $53 $41 −$12 (-22%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? No 87¢ 88¢ $35 $35 +$0 (+1%)
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Over 96¢ 96¢ $29 $29 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? No 96¢ 94¢ $26 $26 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao? No 99¢ 98¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? No 99¢ 99¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? No 97¢ 97¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? No 89¢ 89¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? No 98¢ 96¢ $18 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $17 $16 −$1 (-4%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? No 94¢ 93¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 51¢ 81¢ $8 $12 +$5 (+59%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? No 92¢ 88¢ $12 $11 −$0 (-4%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 75¢ 76¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? No 78¢ 72¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? No 50¢ 42¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-17%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $32 −$2 -5%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $20 −$9 -44%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $10 +$9 +93%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $19 +$6 +31%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 +$14 +140%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $20 −$8 -41%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $19 −$9 -46%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 +$15 +152%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $20 −$9 -45%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $715 −$699 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1,038 −$1,017 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -3%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 31 $113 −$5 -5%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 31 $223 +$326 +146%
NBA: SGA Award Parlay May 31 $27 +$35 +129%
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? May 31 $3 +$3 +97%
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? May 31 $49 −$12 -24%
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? May 26 $3 +$2 +62%
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP? May 26 $5 $0 +5%
Will Evan Mobley win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP? May 26 $40 $0 +0%
Will James Harden win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP? May 26 $43 $0 +1%
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP? May 26 $489 −$128 -26%
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP? May 26 $9 +$1 +10%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 25 $34 −$23 -67%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP? May 25 $207 −$198 -95%
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 24 $2 +$4 +238%
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score May 24 $12 −$2 -16%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? May 24 $23 +$1 +4%
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves May 24 $45 +$5 +11%
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? May 24 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP? May 20 $32 −$31 -98%
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? May 16 $2 −$2 -98%
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NB May 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? May 15 $47 −$7 -16%
Will Julius Randle win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? May 15 $90 −$5 -6%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? May 14 $2 $0 -2%
Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 May 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 20 May 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? May 06 $19 +$2 +11%
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Quali May 06 $4 $0 +5%
Valorant: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega May 06 $10 $0 -4%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 06 $2 $0 -14%
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha May 06 $11 −$2 -16%
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega May 06 $2 $0 +0%
LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafia May 06 $2 $0 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% −$1,698
other 29% −$343
world 1% −$4
politics 0% −$4
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 75¢ $10 2m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 96¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 90¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 98¢ $8 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 23¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? BUY No 99¢ $8 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY No 99¢ $7 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 23¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 96¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 98¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 94¢ $9 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 96¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 23¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 89¢ $12 1h
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao? BUY No 99¢ $10 2h
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Curaçao? BUY No 99¢ $10 2h
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Curaçao? BUY No 99¢ $50 2h
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao? BUY No 99¢ $5 2h
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao? BUY No 99¢ $1 2h
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao? BUY No 99¢ $5 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 18¢ $1 4h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 87¢ $7 4h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 87¢ $3 4h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? BUY No 97¢ $10 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 96¢ $14 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 18¢ $3 4h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 87¢ $7 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -14.9% -23.0% 35% 29% -91.0%
≤30d 40 -3.5% -12.7% 45% 28% -55.2%
≤90d 666 -5.0% -14.0% 38% 33% -38.1%
all 666 -5.0% -14.0% 38% 33% -38.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 33% -38.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 29% -44.0%
15% -29.8% 25% -49.4%
20% -36.6% 23% -54.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,210.64 · official $1,210.27 (match) · 3500 history records