trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | -15.0% | -23.1% | 33% | 33% | +22.1% |
| ≤30d | 27 | -24.5% | -31.7% | 30% | 30% | -28.0% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -24.5% | -31.7% | 30% | 30% | -28.0% |
| all | 27 | -24.5% | -31.7% | 30% | 30% | -28.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.7% | 30% | -28.0% |
| 10% | -38.2% | 30% | -34.9% |
| 15% | -44.2% | 30% | -41.2% |
| 20% | -49.6% | 19% | -47.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $259 | $351 | +$92 (+36%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 66¢ | 60¢ | $264 | $239 | −$25 (-10%) |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $355 | $116 | −$239 (-67%) |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $150 | $112 | −$37 (-25%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $100 | $96 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $50 | $44 | −$6 (-13%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $71 | +$52 | +73% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti? | Jun 20 | $72 | +$352 | +491% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 20 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Haiti? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Qatar? | Jun 18 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar? | Jun 18 | $67 | −$65 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $129 | +$68 | +53% |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Qatar? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Qatar? | Jun 18 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $36 | +$131 | +365% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $25 | +$9 | +36% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$23 | +46% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $48 | +$23 | +48% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 15 | $45 | −$33 | -73% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | Jun 15 | $204 | +$206 | +101% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca | Jun 02 | $279 | −$274 | -98% |
| Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | Jun 01 | $217 | −$211 | -97% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 01 | $302 | −$295 | -98% |