Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T19:46:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
15 0x1587…0e41 crypto 1760 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$43 (-0%) realized −$43 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate97%1721W / 54L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$49per market
Trades / day59.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 30d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,353
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 167 -8.4% -17.1% 90% 1% -17.9%
≤30d 1770 -1.0% -10.4% 97% 2% -11.8%
≤90d 1775 -1.0% -10.4% 97% 2% -11.8%
all 1775 -1.0% -10.4% 97% 2% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 2% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 1% -20.2%
15% -26.8% 1% -27.9%
20% -34.0% 1% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$75 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.47 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1721 / 54
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1775 / 1760
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$49
Trades / day59.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1775 Trades
no open positions (55 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $130 −$130 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $28 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$4 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 20 $41 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$3 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 19 $130 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $41 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.43 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records