trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | Team Liquid | 24¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs | SU Esports | 36¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Nongshim Red Force | 0¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Kansas City Royals | 50¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Team Liquid | 1¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 10 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | Jun 10 | $5 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 03 | $30 | −$3 | -9% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 26 | $7 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 26 | $5 | $0 | -6% |
| LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs | May 22 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner | May 20 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5 | May 20 | $3 | $0 | -8% |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 20 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 19 | $3 | −$2 | -76% |
| Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Grou | May 19 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals | May 16 | $3 | −$2 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -28.7% | -35.5% | 0% | 0% | -33.4% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -49.7% | -54.5% | 0% | 0% | -37.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -49.7% | -54.5% | 0% | 0% | -37.7% |
| all | 15 | -49.7% | -54.5% | 0% | 0% | -37.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -54.5% | 0% | -37.7% |
| 10% | -58.9% | 0% | -43.7% |
| 15% | -62.8% | 0% | -49.1% |
| 20% | -66.5% | 0% | -54.1% |