Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:35:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

15
0x1557…e7bd
crypto · 1213 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$95 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$95 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$95
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses980 / 232
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1212 / 1213
History coverage47d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day29.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 1 History 1212 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 98¢ 96¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$94
other 12% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 6m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 16m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 31m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 31m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 47m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 56m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -1.1% -10.5% 93% 17% -10.5%
≤30d 741 -5.2% -14.2% 85% 12% -15.4%
≤90d 1212 -5.9% -14.9% 81% 16% -15.5%
all 1212 -5.9% -14.9% 81% 16% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 16% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 10% -23.6%
15% -30.5% 7% -31.0%
20% -37.3% 6% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.98 · official $0.94 (match) · 2359 history records