trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 8 | -38.8% | -44.7% | 12% | 0% | -43.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -38.8% | -44.7% | 12% | 0% | -43.7% |
| all | 8 | -38.8% | -44.7% | 12% | 0% | -43.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.7% | 0% | -43.7% |
| 10% | -50.0% | 0% | -49.1% |
| 15% | -54.8% | 0% | -54.0% |
| 20% | -59.2% | 0% | -58.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | May 30 | $4 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? | May 25 | $15 | −$6 | -40% |
| Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? | May 25 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | May 25 | $15 | −$4 | -24% |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | May 25 | $22 | $0 | -1% |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | May 23 | $100 | −$46 | -46% |