trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -33.5% | -39.9% | 36% | 27% | -25.2% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -33.5% | -39.9% | 36% | 27% | -25.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -33.5% | -39.9% | 36% | 27% | -25.2% |
| all | 11 | -33.5% | -39.9% | 36% | 27% | -25.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -39.9% | 27% | -25.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -45.6% | 27% | -32.4% |
| 15% | -50.9% | 27% | -38.9% |
| 20% | -55.7% | 18% | -44.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$8 | +41% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $6 | −$4 | -57% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$1 | -19% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $40 | +$25 | +61% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$3 | +52% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $26 | −$10 | -37% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$5 | -51% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Uruguay to score first vs. Saudi Arabia? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |