Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:09:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

15
0x154a…aaaf
crypto · 42 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses37 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)42 / 42
History coverage10d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 3? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 04 $1 +$1 +129%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 03 $1 +$1 +123%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $1 +$1 +61%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3? Jun 03 $1 $0 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3? Jun 03 $1 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3? Jun 03 $1 $0 +6%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 74% +$1
sports 17% −$1
weather 10% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -9.0% -17.7% 89% 0% -17.8%
≤30d 42 -1.9% -11.2% 88% 10% -11.3%
≤90d 42 -1.9% -11.2% 88% 10% -11.3%
all 42 -1.9% -11.2% 88% 10% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.2% 10% -11.3%
10% -19.7% 7% -19.8%
15% -27.5% 7% -27.5%
20% -34.6% 7% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 84 history records