trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 16 | +32.1% | +19.5% | 62% | 31% | -3.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +19.5% | 31% | -3.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +8.0% | 6% | -12.8% |
| 15% | -2.4% | 6% | -21.2% |
| 20% | -12.0% | 6% | -28.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua? | Dec 21 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 5? | Dec 21 | $504 | +$88 | +18% |
| Will the fight end in Round 3? | Dec 21 | $537 | +$67 | +12% |
| Will the fight end in Round 1? | Dec 21 | $3,143 | +$570 | +18% |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by Decem | Dec 20 | $1,000 | $0 | +0% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31? | Dec 17 | $5,258 | +$6 | +0% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18? | Dec 17 | $31,937 | +$2,050 | +6% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17? | Dec 17 | $63,136 | +$3,506 | +6% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16? | Dec 17 | $25,923 | +$3,025 | +12% |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22? | Dec 16 | $18,480 | +$687 | +4% |
| Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Nov 09 | $0 | +$1 | +692% |
| Will Travis Kelce rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Nov 09 | $3 | −$2 | -61% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Nov 09 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Diddy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Nov 09 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Nov 08 | $1 | $0 | -38% |
| Will Pope Francis rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Nov 08 | $8 | −$3 | -43% |