Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:46:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

15
0x151c…6f47
crypto · 71 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$12 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses37 / 34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)71 / 71
History coverage6d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day14.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 71 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +278%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$7 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$8 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$7 +139%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-1.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 +9.4% -1.0% 52% 52% -13.0%
≤30d 71 +9.4% -1.0% 52% 52% -13.0%
≤90d 71 +9.4% -1.0% 52% 52% -13.0%
all 71 +9.4% -1.0% 52% 52% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.0% 52% -13.0%
10% -10.5% 52% -21.4%
15% -19.1% 52% -29.0%
20% -27.0% 52% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 162 history records