Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

15
0x1506…e3d3
crypto · 2207 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$2,861 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,861 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,861
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses1110 / 573
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1683 / 2207
History coverage20d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day121.7
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1683 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,443
7 days−$802
14 days+$1,497
30 days+$2,861
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5,614
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $12 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)+16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 696 -14.1% -22.3% 49% 49% -20.8%
≤30d 1683 +28.9% +16.7% 66% 66% +10.5%
≤90d 1683 +28.9% +16.7% 66% 66% +10.5%
all 1683 +28.9% +16.7% 66% 66% +10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover121.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +16.7% 66% +10.5%
10% ← realistic here +5.5% 64% -0.1%
15% -4.7% 53% -9.7%
20% -14.0% 42% -18.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records