Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

15
0x1502…ffe0
crypto · 386 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,125 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,125 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,125
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses113 / 273
Open positions0
Markets (closed)386 / 386
History coverage14d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day223.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 386 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71
7 days−$71
14 days−$1,125
30 days−$1,125
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $71 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $64 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $64 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $65 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$11 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $67 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $23 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $37 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $29 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,125
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -1.9% -11.2% 23% 6% -12.8%
≤30d 386 -6.8% -15.7% 29% 4% -13.6%
≤90d 386 -6.8% -15.7% 29% 4% -13.6%
all 386 -6.8% -15.7% 29% 4% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover223.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 4% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 2% -21.8%
15% -31.1% 1% -29.4%
20% -37.9% 1% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records