Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x14e7…a32c
sports · 273 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$33,113 -40%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30,909 · open −$2,112
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,686
Realized−$30,909
Unrealized−$2,112
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses124 / 504
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$998
Open positions25
Markets (closed)628 / 273
History coverage2d
Avg bet$304
Trades / day1794.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 25 History 628 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30,909
7 days−$30,909
14 days−$30,909
30 days−$30,909
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 50¢ 56¢ $638 $714 +$76 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 74¢ 80¢ $640 $698 +$58 (+9%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 66¢ 66¢ $545 $538 −$7 (-1%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 65¢ 58¢ $131 $117 −$14 (-10%)
ITF Varnamo: Patrik Munkhammar vs Max Dahlin Max Dahlin 57¢ 50¢ $133 $116 −$17 (-13%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Henrique Rocha 54¢ 48¢ $81 $73 −$9 (-11%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 4¢ 20¢ $12 $58 +$46 (+388%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Clutchain 66¢ 80¢ $43 $52 +$9 (+21%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 75¢ 80¢ $38 $40 +$2 (+6%)
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro Andreea Prisacariu 65¢ 54¢ $47 $39 −$8 (-17%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 62¢ 78¢ $31 $39 +$8 (+25%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 50¢ 67¢ $25 $34 +$8 (+34%)
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 Under 77¢ 66¢ $38 $33 −$5 (-14%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $39 $33 −$6 (-15%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 61¢ 43¢ $44 $31 −$13 (-30%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 56¢ $25 $28 +$2 (+10%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Elizabeth Mandlik 50¢ 23¢ $25 $12 −$14 (-54%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 39¢ 42¢ $10 $10 +$1 (+8%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs ex-MANA eSports 54¢ 20¢ $17 $6 −$11 (-63%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Zeynep Sonmez 32¢ 12¢ $16 $6 −$10 (-63%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 29¢ 30¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 39¢ 0¢ $1,210 $2 −$1,208 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 60¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-28%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 55¢ 0¢ $643 $1 −$643 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner GenOne 47¢ 0¢ $182 $0 −$182 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Varnamo: Patrik Munkhammar vs Max Dahlin Jun 12 $133 −$17 -13%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 12 $306 −$306 -100%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Champions Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
ITF Sumter: Whitney Osuigwe vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Thunderp Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 12 $42 −$54 -129%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $421 −$145 -34%
T20 Blast: Glamorgan vs Somerset Jun 12 $23 +$22 +96%
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw? Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $232 −$231 -100%
ITF Monastir: Andre Lukosiute vs Chloe Noel Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 12 $75 −$53 -71%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $174 −$174 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Stefan Dostanic Jun 12 $147 −$147 -100%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $12 +$120 +1017%
Little Rock: Dane Sweeny vs Enzo Aguiard Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Yorkshire Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-01? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $134 −$134 -100%
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Botswana vs Rwanda Jun 12 $24 −$50 -212%
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Daria Kuznetsova vs Anna Bazderova Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Will Slovakia vs. Montenegro end in a draw? Jun 12 $161 −$161 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $32 −$23 -71%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Kent Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$7,964
other 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 55¢ $28 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 4¢ $12 3m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $1,138 3m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $300 3m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Vitaliy Sachko 100¢ $15 3m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $60 3m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $24 4m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 52¢ $4 4m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $76 4m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $167 4m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 75¢ $38 5m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 87¢ $262 7m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 50¢ $25 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $171 11m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 82¢ $247 11m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Andreea Prisacariu 56¢ $28 12m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 18¢ $55 12m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 82¢ $12 15m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 20¢ $27 16m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 78¢ $32 16m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 71¢ $9 17m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 75¢ $153 19m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 93¢ $60 21m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 92¢ $25 21m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 93¢ $280 21m
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro BUY Andreea Prisacariu 84¢ $19 22m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 65¢ $33 26m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 32¢ $17 26m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 39¢ $10 28m
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 77¢ $38 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-42.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 628 -36.7% -42.8% 20% 17% -39.8%
≤30d 628 -36.7% -42.8% 20% 17% -39.8%
≤90d 628 -36.7% -42.8% 20% 17% -39.8%
all 628 -36.7% -42.8% 20% 17% -39.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1794.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.8% 17% -39.8%
10% ← realistic here -48.2% 13% -45.6%
15% -53.2% 11% -50.8%
20% -57.8% 9% -55.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,685.95 · official $2,686.08 (match) · 3500 history records