Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:59:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x14cd…7382
crypto · 39 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$110 -68%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$106 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$106
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses8 / 30
Open positions1
Markets (closed)38 / 39
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day31.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$100
7 days−$106
14 days−$106
30 days−$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-94%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$7 +374%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$110
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-61.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -57.9% -61.9% 21% 21% -73.5%
≤30d 38 -57.9% -61.9% 21% 21% -73.5%
≤90d 38 -57.9% -61.9% 21% 21% -73.5%
all 38 -57.9% -61.9% 21% 21% -73.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -61.9% 21% -73.5%
10% ← realistic here -65.5% 21% -76.0%
15% -68.9% 21% -78.4%
20% -71.9% 16% -80.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.25 · official $1.75 · 77 history records