trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +2.4% | -7.4% | 11% | 11% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +2.4% | -7.4% | 11% | 11% | -9.5% |
| all | 21 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 33% | 5% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.4% | 5% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -20.8% | 5% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -28.5% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | No | 80¢ | 81¢ | $8 | $8 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $41 | −$2 | -4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 13 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 10 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 10 | $8 | +$2 | +26% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? | Dec 14 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Alexis Ohanian buy TikTok before July? | Jun 24 | $10 | +$1 | +5% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 23 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Apr 17 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 16 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | Mar 28 | $3 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28? | Mar 28 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Norfolk State vs. Florida | Mar 23 | $13 | $0 | +2% |