Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:42:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
14 0x14a3…019f crypto 410 markets active 5d ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 3d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (263 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$5,660 (+182%) realized +$5,660 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate50%204W / 207L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day262.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$109now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (263 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 196 -7.5% -16.3% 48% 40% -7.5%
≤30d 411 -4.3% -13.4% 50% 44% -8.7%
≤90d 411 -4.3% -13.4% 50% 44% -8.7%
all 411 -4.3% -13.4% 50% 44% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover262.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 44% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 38% -17.5%
15% -29.3% 27% -25.4%
20% -36.2% 19% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$4 · ×1.05 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$109
Realized+$5,660
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses204 / 207
Open positions0
Markets (closed)411 / 410
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day262.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 411 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $47 +$114 +243%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$9 -74%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$5 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$3 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$7 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$7 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$3 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +80%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$9 +151%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$6 -65%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$10 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$15 -79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$9 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$2 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $108.64 · official $108.64 (match) · 3500 history records