Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:01:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x14a0…3227
crypto · 730 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,529 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$223 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$223
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses332 / 398
Open positions0
Markets (closed)730 / 730
History coverage22d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day161.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 730 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$25
14 days−$114
30 days−$223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$223
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 -0.2% -9.7% 50% 23% -10.9%
≤30d 730 -0.1% -9.6% 45% 23% -11.1%
≤90d 730 -0.1% -9.6% 45% 23% -11.1%
all 730 -0.1% -9.6% 45% 23% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover161.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 23% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 12% -19.6%
15% -26.2% 6% -27.4%
20% -33.4% 2% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records