trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 63¢ | 65¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5 | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | Knicks | 56¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | Spurs | 65¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| First Blood in Game 2? | Team Falcons | 5¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5 | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 11 | $5 | +$3 | +52% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 21 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5 | May 21 | $5 | +$2 | +36% |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 20 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5 | May 20 | $5 | +$1 | +24% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | May 19 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5 | May 11 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 10 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5 | May 10 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5 | May 08 | $5 | +$4 | +73% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 27.5 | May 08 | $5 | +$4 | +83% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5 | May 07 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 | May 07 | $10 | +$8 | +79% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 06 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 29 | $10 | +$2 | +18% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | Apr 29 | $7 | +$7 | +97% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 29 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Celtics | Apr 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Timberwolves | Apr 28 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5 | Apr 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Kings | Apr 28 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5 | Apr 28 | $3 | +$5 | +160% |
| Kings vs. Thunder | Oct 29 | $2 | +$1 | +25% |
| Hornets vs. Heat | Oct 29 | $2 | +$1 | +52% |
| 76ers vs. Wizards | Oct 29 | $3 | +$2 | +59% |
| Celtics vs. Pistons | Oct 27 | $2 | +$1 | +75% |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | Oct 26 | $59 | −$58 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +52.2% | +37.7% | 100% | 100% | +37.7% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 67% | 67% | +14.1% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -11.6% | -20.0% | 50% | 50% | -28.8% |
| all | 27 | -5.3% | -14.3% | 56% | 56% | -45.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.3% | 56% | -45.7% |
| 10% | -22.5% | 52% | -50.9% |
| 15% | -30.0% | 44% | -55.7% |
| 20% | -36.9% | 37% | -60.0% |