Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x1492…a2c9
sports · 22 markets active 1h ago
9.0score
+$2,025 +42%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,025 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 0 History 22 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,247
7 days+$1,247
14 days+$1,247
30 days+$1,247
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 70¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) FlyQuest 24¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner Team Secret Whales 30¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3) Top Esports 22¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) CTBC Flying Oyster 25¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 49¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Movistar KOI 55¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) Team Secret Whales 32¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $143 +$286 +200%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $203 +$145 +71%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $102 +$152 +149%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$53 +52%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $254 +$208 +82%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $102 +$92 +91%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $194 +$412 +213%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Nov 01 $600 +$960 +160%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Nov 01 $200 +$281 +141%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Nov 01 $700 +$286 +41%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Nov 01 $500 −$500 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3) Oct 23 $19 −$19 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) Oct 23 $82 −$82 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner Oct 23 $300 −$300 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Oct 23 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) Oct 22 $290 −$144 -50%
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner Oct 22 $284 +$206 +72%
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner Oct 22 $100 +$94 +94%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner Oct 22 $203 +$93 +46%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner Oct 22 $149 +$53 +36%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) Oct 22 $50 −$50 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$1,873
other 2% +$152
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 99¢ $428 56m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 32¢ $143 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $347 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 57¢ $203 2h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $254 7h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 39¢ $102 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 65¢ $101 21h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 98¢ $462 22h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 53¢ $254 23h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 49¢ $102 25h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 95¢ $194 25h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 49¢ $102 26h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 99¢ $606 31h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 23¢ $41 34h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 25¢ $51 34h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 42¢ $102 34h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 84¢ $1,560 223d
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 34¢ $100 223d
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 32¢ $500 223d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 80¢ $225 223d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 67¢ $257 223d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 30¢ $200 223d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $986 223d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 70¢ $700 223d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 70¢ $500 223d
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3) BUY Top Esports 22¢ $19 232d
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) BUY Team Secret Whales 32¢ $82 232d
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Secret Whales 24¢ $100 232d
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Secret Whales 34¢ $200 232d
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner BUY Movistar KOI 55¢ $100 232d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)+18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +94.8% +76.2% 88% 88% +84.8%
≤30d 8 +94.8% +76.2% 88% 88% +84.8%
≤90d 8 +94.8% +76.2% 88% 88% +84.8%
all 22 +30.5% +18.1% 64% 64% +29.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +18.1% 64% +29.7%
10% +6.8% 64% +17.3%
15% -3.5% 64% +5.9%
20% -13.0% 50% -4.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 49 history records