Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:36:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x1486…cef3
sports · 897 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$518 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$395 · open −$122
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$629
Realized−$395
Unrealized−$122
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses572 / 292
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Est. fees paid−$117
Open positions33
Markets (closed)864 / 897
History coverage181d
Avg bet$157
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 33 History 864 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$602
14 days−$477
30 days−$469
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 15¢ 77¢ $20 $98 +$79 (+402%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 100¢ $10 $36 +$26 (+257%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 57¢ 100¢ $20 $35 +$15 (+74%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Under 77¢ 100¢ $24 $32 +$7 (+30%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 70¢ 100¢ $20 $29 +$9 (+43%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 100¢ $14 $26 +$11 (+78%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 75¢ 87¢ $20 $23 +$3 (+16%)
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) Connecticut Sun 51¢ 100¢ $10 $20 +$10 (+95%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 Under 59¢ 100¢ $10 $17 +$7 (+69%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 26¢ 42¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+60%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 37¢ 58¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+58%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 92¢ 100¢ $14 $16 +$1 (+9%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 64¢ 100¢ $10 $15 +$6 (+56%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Under 51¢ 100¢ $8 $15 +$7 (+95%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 26¢ 26¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 37¢ 38¢ $14 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 100¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+45%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 70¢ 100¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+43%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 59¢ 78¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+31%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Indiana Fever 76¢ 100¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+31%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 78¢ 100¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+28%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 88¢ 74¢ $15 $12 −$2 (-15%)
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Kansas City Royals 70¢ 86¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+24%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 85¢ 84¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 82¢ 81¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $45 −$7 -16%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +27%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $25 +$3 +12%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $14 +$7 +50%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 +$31 +307%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $13 +$4 +27%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$18 +124%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $25 −$13 -53%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 −$4 -18%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $15 +$16 +109%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $15 +$22 +152%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +34%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $29 $0 +1%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$9 +91%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $10 +$6 +59%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $30 −$3 -9%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $14 +$15 +101%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $14 +$8 +52%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $15 +$3 +21%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $39 −$12 -30%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $29 +$6 +22%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $39 −$6 -15%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $21 −$6 -27%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $39 −$22 -57%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $24 −$9 -38%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$3 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 79% −$103
crypto 6% +$11
sports 6% −$397
tech 6% −$5
culture 1% −$20
weather 1% +$7
politics 0% +$5
world 0% −$16
finance 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $10 1m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 35¢ $10 6m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 82¢ $10 6m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 26¢ $10 21m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 42¢ $10 21m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 42¢ $0 21m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 19¢ $10 21m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 80¢ $10 36m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 61¢ $10 46m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 51m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 85¢ $10 51m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 42¢ $10 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $10 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 BUY Over 47¢ $0 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Indiana Fever 49¢ $10 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 BUY Over 47¢ $10 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Indiana Fever 61¢ $0 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Indiana Fever 61¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 8¢ $10 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 51¢ $10 1h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Morocco 4¢ $12 1h
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 70¢ $10 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 59¢ $10 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 37¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 61¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 43¢ $10 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 BUY Under 59¢ $0 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 BUY Under 51¢ $3 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 BUY Under 51¢ $3 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 BUY Under 51¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 335 -4.6% -13.7% 44% 36% -16.9%
≤30d 476 -6.0% -14.9% 48% 35% -13.7%
≤90d 598 -3.9% -13.1% 59% 29% -11.2%
all 864 -2.5% -11.8% 66% 20% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 20% -9.8%
10% -20.3% 18% -18.4%
15% -28.0% 14% -26.3%
20% -35.0% 12% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $629.47 · official $636.88 · 2582 history records