Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T13:16:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
14 0x1477…eacc crypto 134 markets active 1h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (85 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$173 (-9%) realized −$173 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate49%65W / 69L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day84.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$122
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (85 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 134 -6.9% -15.7% 49% 48% -13.2%
≤30d 134 -6.9% -15.7% 49% 48% -13.2%
≤90d 134 -6.9% -15.7% 49% 48% -13.2%
all 134 -6.9% -15.7% 49% 48% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover84.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 48% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 48% -21.5%
15% -31.2% 47% -29.1%
20% -37.9% 44% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$13 · ×0.92 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$173
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses65 / 69
Open positions0
Markets (closed)134 / 134
History coverage5d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day84.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 134 Trades
no open positions (50 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$29 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$29 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $17 −$11 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$20 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $17 −$15 -90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$10 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$16 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$9 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$8 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$7 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$6 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$3 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$5 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$30 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$30 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$21 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $31 +$27 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $16 +$15 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $26 +$24 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $16 +$22 +141%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$19 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $16 +$20 +130%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $16 +$14 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$10 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$7 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$4 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$8 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$13 -84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$13 +85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $20 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $60 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $60 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $46 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 450 history records