Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:31:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x146c…1d91
crypto · 162 markets active 15h ago
0.0score
+$8,933 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,933 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$8,933
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses89 / 73
Whale WR (big bets)66%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)162 / 162
Avg bet$472
Trades / day158.6
Drawdown34%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 162 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,285
7 days+$8,954
14 days+$8,933
30 days+$8,933
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $229 +$297 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $138 −$123 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $157 −$157 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $653 −$382 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $881 −$881 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1,031 −$1,031 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1,654 −$1,654 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1,505 +$916 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $519 +$557 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $3,439 +$2,067 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $1,077 +$606 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $3,340 +$2,477 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $1,641 +$966 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $212 −$212 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1,849 −$1,849 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $312 −$288 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $104 −$89 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $307 +$153 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $104 −$102 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $202 −$202 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $311 +$289 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $662 +$285 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $258 +$191 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $206 +$157 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $104 −$81 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $411 +$251 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $405 +$48 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $262 −$262 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $1,124 +$489 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $442 +$22 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $261 +$378 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $157 +$288 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $203 +$53 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $305 +$104 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $156 +$178 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $364 +$149 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $128 −$128 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $1,007 +$112 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $128 +$47 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $154 +$116 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $263 −$263 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $251 +$18 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $307 +$145 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$8,933
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $104 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $30 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $25 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $15 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $17 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $17 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $104 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $104 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $103 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $102 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $103 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $103 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $258 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $257 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $256 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 158 -0.5% -10.0% 55% 51% +1.1%
≤30d 162 +0.3% -9.2% 55% 51% +1.0%
≤90d 162 +0.3% -9.2% 55% 51% +1.0%
all 162 +0.3% -9.2% 55% 51% +1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover158.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 51% +1.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 48% -8.6%
15% -25.9% 42% -17.5%
20% -33.1% 35% -25.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1450 history records