Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:45:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x146b…a47c
crypto · 331 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$554 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$442 · open +$112
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$311
Realized+$442
Unrealized+$112
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses137 / 192
Open positions2
Markets (closed)329 / 331
History coverage46d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day72.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 329 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$636
7 days+$1,132
14 days+$1,173
30 days+$1,173
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 54¢ 98¢ $101 $182 +$82 (+81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 54¢ 72¢ $94 $124 +$31 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+105%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 20¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+404%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 24¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+313%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $225 +$139 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $231 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $164 +$159 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $187 +$291 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$23 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $124 +$199 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $270 −$68 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $90 −$89 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $59 −$56 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $205 −$201 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$14 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $99 −$97 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $117 +$89 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $122 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $283 +$221 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$66 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $68 +$39 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$18 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $83 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $87 −$85 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$62 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $81 +$47 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $148 −$144 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$60 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $91 −$87 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $93 +$180 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$47 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $102 −$99 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$18 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $151 −$147 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$13 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $120 +$168 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$82 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$30 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$35 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$85 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$52 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$74 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$554
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $25 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $27 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $16 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $32 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $22 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $24 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+5.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 188 +32.8% +20.1% 43% 36% -4.2%
≤30d 247 +22.2% +10.6% 45% 38% -5.1%
≤90d 329 +16.9% +5.8% 42% 36% -9.9%
all 329 +16.9% +5.8% 42% 36% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.8% 36% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -4.3% 34% -18.5%
15% -13.6% 30% -26.4%
20% -22.0% 27% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $310.59 · official $161.81 · 3500 history records