Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:15:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
14 0x1467…c7b0 world 3 markets active 6d ago coverage 16d
RISKYcopy with care world specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$21 (-0%) realized −$21 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6,831per market
Trades / day18.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 16d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
economics 75% −$25
world 25% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 3 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 3 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
all 3 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.5 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
49.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$11 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage16d
Avg bet$6,831
Trades / day18.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 3 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 11 $15,323 −$25 -0%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 04 $3,986 −$6 -0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? May 26 $1,182 −$2 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $256 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $257 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $257 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $257 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $257 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $257 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $257 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $258 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $258 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $258 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $258 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $259 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $259 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $259 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $259 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $260 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $260 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $260 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $260 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $260 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $260 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $261 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $261 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $261 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $261 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $262 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $262 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $262 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $262 6d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $263 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 299 history records