trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 100% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -9.4% | -18.0% | 31% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 23 | -7.8% | -16.6% | 22% | 4% | -41.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.6% | 4% | -41.2% |
| 10% | -24.5% | 4% | -46.8% |
| 15% | -31.8% | 4% | -52.0% |
| 20% | -38.5% | 4% | -56.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 16 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May | May 26 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 14 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 17 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 14 | $12 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 11 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 08 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 04 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Apr 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Mar 31 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Mar 26 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 23 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 19 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 15 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 11 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 03 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 27 | $1 | $0 | -33% |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | Feb 24 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15? | Feb 22 | $141 | −$141 | -100% |
| Montana State Bobcats vs. Montana Grizzlies | Feb 22 | $5 | +$6 | +127% |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 21 | $1 | −$1 | -50% |
| Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Feb 16 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 13 | $24 | $0 | -0% |