Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:58:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x1456…edb2
crypto · 744 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,698 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,698 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$2,698
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses513 / 380
Open positions0
Markets (closed)893 / 744
History coverage13d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day222.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 893 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,554
7 days−$2,526
14 days−$2,698
30 days−$2,698
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$21 -513%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$31 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$12 -700%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$70 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$10 -264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$128
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $19 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $39 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-24.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 567 -24.1% -31.4% 51% 32% -28.5%
≤30d 893 -16.9% -24.8% 57% 37% -22.4%
≤90d 893 -16.9% -24.8% 57% 37% -22.4%
all 893 -16.9% -24.8% 57% 37% -22.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover222.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.8% 37% -22.4%
10% ← realistic here -32.0% 23% -29.8%
15% -38.6% 14% -36.6%
20% -44.6% 8% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.79 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records