Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:32:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x144c…6aa4
other · 7 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$7 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Open positions5
Markets (closed)2 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day5.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 5 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 64¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 76¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 94¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+14%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $3 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $2 24h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 24h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 71¢ $5 33h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 77¢ $5 33h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $5 33h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.32 · official $23.32 (match) · 7 history records