Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:47:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x1440…b5fb
crypto · 1405 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,191 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,191 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,191
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses513 / 1067
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1580 / 1405
History coverage49d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day37.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1580 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$908
7 days−$970
14 days−$845
30 days−$839
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$280
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $15 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $16 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $9 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $16 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $21 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $16 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $15 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $14 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $14 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $15 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $14 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $15 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $15 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $3 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $4 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $15 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $20 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $16 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $4 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $11 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $14 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $20 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 226 -79.1% -81.1% 8% 4% -62.8%
≤30d 721 -25.1% -32.2% 5% 3% -14.2%
≤90d 1580 -15.7% -23.8% 32% 31% -14.5%
all 1580 -15.7% -23.8% 32% 31% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.8% 31% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -31.1% 28% -22.7%
15% -37.7% 25% -30.2%
20% -43.8% 19% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records