Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:58:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x143d…0e11
sports · 144 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$71 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$78 · open −$67
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$78
Unrealized−$67
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses93 / 47
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions4
Markets (closed)140 / 144
History coverage89d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 4 History 140 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$23
14 days−$38
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 72¢ 26¢ $50 $18 −$32 (-63%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 39¢ 7¢ $26 $5 −$21 (-82%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Gen.G 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 3 Winner M80 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 2 Winner Voca 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Sentinels 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Esports Academy 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 76¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Team Vitality 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs fnatic 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs FaZe 77¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner LGD Gaming 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Bilibili Gaming 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner Team Vitality 90¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $20 +$11 +55%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $28 −$22 -76%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $19 +$10 +53%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1 +$1 +34%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$23 +113%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $16 −$15 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 +$5 +99%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $6 −$5 -82%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $2 +$4 +176%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 01 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -96%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 31 $2 $0 +24%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner May 31 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner May 31 $2 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters E May 31 $2 $0 +23%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $1 +$1 +113%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 31 $5 +$1 +20%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $1 $0 +15%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $2 +$2 +116%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $14 +$1 +9%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 31 $10 +$3 +34%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 30 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner May 30 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Eu May 30 $10 +$1 +6%
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs May 30 $10 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 30 $1 $0 +46%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner May 30 $10 +$4 +39%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series May 30 $5 −$5 -99%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualif May 30 $3 +$2 +57%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $5 +$1 +16%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 30 $14 +$3 +23%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $5 +$1 +11%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $6 +$1 +17%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) May 30 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $7 +$1 +9%
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 29 $1 $0 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$109
other 13% −$34
crypto 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 39¢ $24 42m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 49¢ $5 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 40¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $31 2h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY Gen.G 53¢ $9 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 72¢ $50 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $20 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 14¢ $7 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $28 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $28 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $19 12h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $20 12h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $10 15h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $2 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $2 20h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 74¢ $1 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $1 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $1 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $1 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $43 30h
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $1 36h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $1 36h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 51¢ $1 36h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $18 36h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 40h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 40h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $2 45h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 45h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $3 45h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $10 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -25.2% -32.3% 47% 47% -23.6%
≤30d 108 -2.1% -11.5% 65% 55% -13.2%
≤90d 140 -3.6% -12.8% 66% 56% -17.7%
all 140 -3.6% -12.8% 66% 56% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 56% -17.7%
10% -21.1% 41% -25.5%
15% -28.7% 26% -32.7%
20% -35.7% 16% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.04 · official $23.04 (match) · 281 history records