Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:26:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x143b…dd66
crypto · 111 markets active 1h ago
6.5score
+$40 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$40 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses84 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)111 / 111
History coverage190d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 111 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$19
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 06 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 06 $10 +$10 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 06 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 05 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$51
sports 1% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +62.1% +46.7% 100% 83% +47.4%
≤30d 57 +2.7% -7.0% 68% 56% -9.2%
≤90d 57 +2.7% -7.0% 68% 56% -9.2%
all 111 +2.3% -7.4% 76% 66% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.4% 66% -7.1%
10% -16.3% 29% -16.0%
15% -24.4% 18% -24.1%
20% -31.8% 14% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 248 history records