Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:48:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x1436…0121
sports · 387 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$10,604 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13,356 · open −$2,752
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11,814
Realized+$13,356
Unrealized−$2,752
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses245 / 125
Whale WR (big bets)87%
Est. fees paid−$1,031
Open positions16
Markets (closed)370 / 387
History coverage225d
Avg bet$610
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 16 History 370 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$562
7 days+$4,410
14 days+$6,763
30 days+$13,002
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 93¢ 80¢ $11,701 $9,949 −$1,752 (-15%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 80¢ 57¢ $860 $613 −$247 (-29%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 90¢ 100¢ $500 $557 +$57 (+11%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 81¢ 100¢ $200 $246 +$46 (+23%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Bilibili Gaming 81¢ 80¢ $200 $196 −$4 (-2%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 49¢ 48¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 11¢ $70 $95 +$25 (+35%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 70¢ 74¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+5%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 73¢ 72¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-10%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Bilibili Gaming 64¢ 30¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-52%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 79¢ 0¢ $525 $0 −$525 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 14¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 29¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Bilibili Gaming 70¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 84¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 73¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 67¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team Secret Whales 69¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner GAM Esports 59¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 33¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner GAM Esports 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $35 −$34 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $46 −$46 -99%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $80 +$14 +17%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $136 +$64 +48%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $57 +$22 +39%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $20 +$6 +29%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $201 +$57 +28%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $300 +$224 +75%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $217 −$214 -99%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $29 −$20 -68%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $91 −$89 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $406 −$400 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $167 −$165 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 +$12 +119%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 11 $10 +$4 +44%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $10 +$4 +44%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $10 +$5 +46%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $13 −$13 -99%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 11 $30 +$7 +24%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $705 +$207 +29%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$24 +12%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $283 +$80 +28%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $10 +$3 +32%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $10 +$2 +24%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $20 +$4 +20%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $7 +$3 +44%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $20 +$8 +40%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Jun 10 $15 −$6 -41%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 10 $20 +$4 +18%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $101 +$60 +60%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $20 +$4 +22%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $20 +$3 +14%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 09 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $20 +$3 +13%
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $20 +$4 +20%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $10 +$3 +34%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South A Jun 08 $10 +$6 +57%
LoL: GOAL vs mCon esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $10 +$5 +52%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs MAGAZA (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $20 +$4 +18%
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs NightBirds (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $20 +$5 +24%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs The Otter Side (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swi Jun 08 $40 +$6 +14%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss S Jun 08 $15 +$5 +32%
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Top Esports Challenger (BO1) - Asia Jun 08 $20 +$3 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$13,363
politics 1% −$2,497
other 0% −$292
economics 0% +$41
culture 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 87¢ $201 25m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $201 25m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $10 26m
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 64¢ $10 29m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $151 32m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $201 36m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 87¢ $502 49m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $503 50m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $1,002 56m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 63¢ $30 57m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 54¢ $10 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 74¢ $10 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 83¢ $50 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 86¢ $19 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 66¢ $10 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 66¢ $10 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 69¢ $10 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $50 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 86¢ $26 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 84¢ $73 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 84¢ $27 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $3,003 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 73¢ $19 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 83¢ $51 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 83¢ $49 1h
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 70¢ $50 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $101 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 33¢ $10 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 37¢ $4 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 38¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 +0.4% -9.2% 72% 69% +4.2%
≤30d 281 -5.0% -14.0% 69% 63% -1.5%
≤90d 366 -8.5% -17.2% 66% 59% -4.2%
all 370 -7.0% -15.8% 66% 59% -4.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.8% 59% -4.1%
10% -23.9% 43% -13.2%
15% -31.2% 29% -21.6%
20% -38.0% 15% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,814.02 · official $11,814.13 (match) · 1673 history records