Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:04:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

14
0x142d…6c11
crypto · 50 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$17 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses43 / 7
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 50
History coverage7d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$17
14 days+$17
30 days+$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs Team Liquid ID 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Yes 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $240 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $238 −$6 -2%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl Jun 12 $210 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) Jun 12 $150 +$2 +2%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $100 +$2 +2%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $27 +$3 +12%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 10 $9 +$1 +7%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M Jun 10 $9 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 7? Jun 07 $1 $0 +20%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Team Vamos (BO7) - MP Jun 07 $1 $0 +12%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Invictus Gaming vs Team Vamos (BO7) - MPL Ma Jun 06 $2 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 38% +$1
sports 38% +$11
other 24% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $243 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $240 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +4.2% -5.7% 86% 42% -8.0%
≤30d 50 +4.2% -5.7% 86% 42% -8.0%
≤90d 50 +4.2% -5.7% 86% 42% -8.0%
all 50 +4.2% -5.7% 86% 42% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.7% 42% -8.0%
10% -14.7% 22% -16.8%
15% -23.0% 16% -24.9%
20% -30.5% 10% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 128 history records