trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 57% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 9 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 56% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $43 | $43 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 24 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 04 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 20 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 27 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | Apr 27 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Apr 04 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | Apr 04 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 14 | $14,874 | −$15 | -0% |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Mar 14 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |