trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 14% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 11% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -2.8% | -12.0% | 10% | 0% | -11.5% |
| all | 29 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 24% | 3% | -10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.2% | 3% | -10.4% |
| 10% | -17.9% | 3% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 3% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 16 | $73 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $67 | −$1 | -2% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $56 | −$4 | -8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $50 | +$1 | +3% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 10 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 24 | $26 | −$5 | -20% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Nov 24 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 23 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | Nov 23 | $71 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Getafe win on 2025-11-28? | Nov 23 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23? | Nov 22 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Panthers vs. 49ers | Nov 22 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29? | Nov 22 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Nov 21 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Buccaneers vs. Rams | Nov 20 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Nov 20 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Oct 09 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Oct 09 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Oct 09 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Oct 09 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Oct 09 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October? | Oct 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.50 in October? | Oct 08 | $1 | +$1 | +37% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Oct 08 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Oct 08 | $3 | $0 | +0% |