Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:19:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
13 0x13f9…b4e9 crypto 1275 markets active 5d ago coverage 80d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 80d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$300 (-7%) realized −$300 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate50%641W / 634L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day28.2pace
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$28
14 days−$88
30 days−$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$86
other 6% −$49
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -24.8% -32.0% 51% 51% -20.7%
≤30d 536 -12.8% -21.1% 53% 50% -17.2%
≤90d 1275 -8.0% -16.7% 50% 48% -12.2%
all 1275 -8.0% -16.7% 50% 48% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 48% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 42% -20.6%
15% -32.0% 34% -28.3%
20% -38.6% 25% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$3 · ×0.91 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

80d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$300
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses641 / 634
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1275 / 1275
History coverage80d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day28.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1275 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +29%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +65%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +79%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records