Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T08:34:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
13 0x13ee…e5ee crypto 1491 markets active 0h ago coverage 40d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 39d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$23,757 (-34%) realized −$23,757 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate48%714W / 777L
Whale WR76%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$47per market
Trades / day70.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 40d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,123
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -12.6% -21.0% 45% 45% -13.7%
≤30d 908 -9.3% -17.9% 47% 46% -13.6%
≤90d 1491 -7.7% -16.5% 48% 47% -12.1%
all 1491 -7.7% -16.5% 48% 47% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover70.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 47% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 47% -20.5%
15% -31.8% 46% -28.2%
20% -38.5% 46% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 76% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -4% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$37 vs −$36 · ×1.0 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

40d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$23,757
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses714 / 777
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1491 / 1491
History coverage40d ⚠
Avg bet$47
Trades / day70.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1491 Trades
no open positions (436 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 21 $284 +$66 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 21 $774 +$589 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 21 $259 −$250 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 21 $466 −$450 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 21 $362 −$350 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 21 $362 −$26 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 21 $362 −$12 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 21 $366 +$43 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 20 $359 −$250 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 20 $362 +$302 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 20 $310 −$300 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 20 $362 +$316 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 20 $335 −$325 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 20 $284 −$275 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 20 $129 +$125 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 20 $129 −$125 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 20 $284 +$257 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 20 $129 −$125 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 20 $129 +$116 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 20 $284 +$247 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 20 $129 −$125 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 20 $335 +$269 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 20 $311 +$327 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 20 $313 −$300 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 20 $310 +$290 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 20 $32 +$28 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 20 $269 −$260 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 20 $129 −$125 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 20 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 27 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET May 26 $5 +$6 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET May 26 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 26 $279 −$267 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 26 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 26 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 26 $545 −$528 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 26 $3 +$2 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 26 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET May 26 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET May 26 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 26 $3 +$2 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 26 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 26 $27 +$23 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 26 $5 +$5 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 26 $11 +$12 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 26 $11 +$11 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 26 $336 −$325 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 26 $12 +$11 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $259 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $88 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $284 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $418 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $355 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $259 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $205 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $261 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $362 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $336 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $362 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $350 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $310 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $409 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $342 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $108 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $359 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $54 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $308 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $304 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $141 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $221 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $335 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $57 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $228 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $129 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records