Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:38:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x13ea…17b3
crypto · 158 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$80 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$80 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$80
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses101 / 56
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions1
Markets (closed)157 / 158
History coverage15d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day39.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 157 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64
7 days−$31
14 days−$31
30 days−$80
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$5 +228%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% −$78
crypto 33% +$10
other 3% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 134 +1.6% -8.1% 72% 30% -18.8%
≤30d 157 -0.1% -9.6% 64% 27% -18.7%
≤90d 157 -0.1% -9.6% 64% 27% -18.7%
all 157 -0.1% -9.6% 64% 27% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 27% -18.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 21% -26.5%
15% -26.1% 15% -33.6%
20% -33.4% 13% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $0.99 (match) · 707 history records