Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:44:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x13e5…1ea5
sports · 407 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,186 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,660 · open −$526
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,672
Realized−$1,660
Unrealized−$526
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses219 / 173
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$939
Open positions15
Markets (closed)392 / 407
History coverage74d
Avg bet$211
Trades / day38.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 15 History 392 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,508
7 days+$468
14 days+$330
30 days+$330
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $845 $747 −$99 (-12%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $552 $546 −$6 (-1%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 58¢ 80¢ $395 $541 +$146 (+37%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $499 $485 −$14 (-3%)
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 62¢ $357 $348 −$9 (-3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 40¢ $350 $346 −$4 (-1%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 50¢ 49¢ $300 $294 −$6 (-2%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 56¢ $181 $179 −$2 (-1%)
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 42¢ $167 $161 −$6 (-3%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 33¢ 35¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+6%)
Will Uzbekistan finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 57¢ 57¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 58¢ 0¢ $294 $3 −$291 (-99%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Vitality 86¢ 0¢ $102 $1 −$101 (-99%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anubis Gaming 39¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 82¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 +$13 +12%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $90 +$36 +40%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $559 +$200 +36%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $389 +$147 +38%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $453 +$134 +30%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,060 +$427 +40%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $280 −$280 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $374 +$244 +65%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $420 −$420 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $984 +$871 +88%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $231 −$213 -92%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,167 +$882 +76%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,738 −$2,920 -78%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $153 −$90 -59%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $9 +$1 +15%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $79 +$26 +33%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $166 −$166 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $715 +$28 +4%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $523 +$364 +70%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $134 −$120 -90%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $246 +$16 +6%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $57 +$23 +40%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,255 +$461 +37%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $103 −$103 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $475 +$241 +51%
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5) Jun 11 $651 −$651 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $164 −$164 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $724 +$340 +47%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $24 +$79 +332%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $229 +$135 +59%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $424 +$271 +64%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $605 +$313 +52%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $1,802 +$844 +47%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $306 +$220 +72%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $2,036 −$2,036 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $554 −$554 -100%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $1,084 +$264 +24%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $463 +$193 +42%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $182 −$182 -100%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $86 +$7 +8%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $344 −$344 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $28 −$28 -100%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $175 +$56 +32%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $157 −$157 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $42 +$8 +20%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $55 +$21 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$2,735
other 3% −$124
crypto 2% +$673
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 58¢ $301 36m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 33¢ $16 43m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $760 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL Misa Esports 100¢ $536 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 42¢ $3 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 42¢ $5 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 42¢ $27 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 39¢ $6 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 76¢ $1 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 38¢ $33 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 38¢ $35 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 38¢ $7 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Vitality 86¢ $88 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Vitality 86¢ $6 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Vitality 85¢ $8 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Vitality 85¢ $1 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 82¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 71¢ $31 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 71¢ $42 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 71¢ $347 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 73¢ $138 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $587 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $1,487 2h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $618 2h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 69¢ $67 2h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 69¢ $203 2h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 74¢ $60 2h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 74¢ $60 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 75¢ $453 3h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 175 -4.8% -13.9% 55% 43% -8.9%
≤30d 183 -6.4% -15.3% 54% 41% -9.1%
≤90d 392 -5.7% -14.7% 56% 46% -11.4%
all 392 -5.7% -14.7% 56% 46% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 46% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 36% -19.8%
15% -30.3% 28% -27.6%
20% -37.1% 19% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,671.52 · official $3,671.55 (match) · 3500 history records