Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:23:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x13e2…4baf
crypto · 1226 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$1,012 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,013 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$1,013
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses492 / 499
Open positions1
Markets (closed)991 / 1226
History coverage11d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day115.5
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 991 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$434
7 days+$976
14 days+$1,013
30 days+$1,013
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 37¢ 14¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$9 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$59 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$36 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$35 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$12 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$22 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +119%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,012
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $58 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $24 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 883 +12.6% +1.8% 49% 49% +11.2%
≤30d 991 +14.7% +3.8% 50% 50% +11.4%
≤90d 991 +14.7% +3.8% 50% 50% +11.4%
all 991 +14.7% +3.8% 50% 50% +11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.8% 50% +11.4%
10% ← realistic here -6.1% 50% +0.8%
15% -15.2% 50% -9.0%
20% -23.5% 50% -17.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.63 · official $1.19 (match) · 1721 history records