Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:54:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
13 0x13e0…5204 crypto 276 markets active 2h ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d only
✗ bot/MM pace (523 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$66 (-1%) realized −$66 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate53%147W / 131L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day523.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (523 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 278 +1.2% -8.5% 53% 12% -8.7%
≤30d 278 +1.2% -8.5% 53% 12% -8.7%
≤90d 278 +1.2% -8.5% 53% 12% -8.7%
all 278 +1.2% -8.5% 53% 12% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover523.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 12% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 2% -17.4%
15% -25.2% 1% -25.4%
20% -32.6% 1% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
78% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
9.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$1 · ×1.22 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.38 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$66
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses147 / 131
Open positions0
Markets (closed)278 / 276
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$27
Trades / day523.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 278 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$2 +586%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $63 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $73 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $30 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $28 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $38 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 16 $37 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 16 $24 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $28 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $31 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $33 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $22 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $45 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $46 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $34 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $19 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $36 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $17 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $21 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 16 $39 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $38 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $33 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $68 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $43 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $81 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $31 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$5 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.55 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records