trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -8.3% | -17.0% | 83% | 33% | -1.9% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -11.9% | -20.3% | 70% | 40% | -1.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -11.9% | -20.3% | 70% | 40% | -1.7% |
| all | 10 | -11.9% | -20.3% | 70% | 40% | -1.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.3% | 40% | -1.7% |
| 10% | -27.9% | 20% | -11.1% |
| 15% | -34.9% | 10% | -19.7% |
| 20% | -41.3% | 10% | -27.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 33¢ | 28¢ | $20 | $17 | −$3 (-14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $109 | +$8 | +8% |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5 | Jun 25 | $212 | +$56 | +27% |
| Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu | Jun 25 | $201 | +$6 | +3% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Jun 25 | $990 | +$110 | +11% |
| Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Jun 23 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $186 | +$4 | +2% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5 | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Jun 18 | $40 | −$38 | -96% |
| o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Jun 17 | $130 | +$18 | +14% |
| o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Jun 17 | $41 | +$48 | +117% |