Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:03:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x13c6…7383
crypto · 41 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$16 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized+$27
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses8 / 31
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)39 / 41
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day36.0
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 2 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 47¢ 42¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Hanne Vandewinkel 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Marie Bouzkova 3¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $15 +$11 +73%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 12 $10 +$7 +73%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +158%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $20 +$21 +104%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$16 +1464%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$10 +945%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 11 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$9 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $3 +$1 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% +$8
other 21% +$3
crypto 21% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 57¢ $15 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 45¢ $10 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Over 57¢ $10 3h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 1¢ $10 10h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 19¢ $10 11h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 37¢ $10 11h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 24h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 25h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 25h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $10 26h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 26h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)+6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +17.8% +6.6% 21% 21% +8.5%
≤30d 39 +17.8% +6.6% 21% 21% +8.5%
≤90d 39 +17.8% +6.6% 21% 21% +8.5%
all 39 +17.8% +6.6% 21% 21% +8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.6% 21% +8.5%
10% ← realistic here -3.6% 21% -1.9%
15% -12.9% 21% -11.4%
20% -21.5% 18% -20.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.84 · official $8.84 (match) · 86 history records