Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:57:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x13b0…8f5f
crypto · 306 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$297 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$297 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$297
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses162 / 144
Open positions0
Markets (closed)306 / 306
History coverage21d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day35.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 306 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$13
14 days−$70
30 days−$297
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$299
other 2% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-21.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -9.2% -17.8% 59% 56% -12.3%
≤30d 306 -12.8% -21.1% 53% 47% -31.3%
≤90d 306 -12.8% -21.1% 53% 47% -31.3%
all 306 -12.8% -21.1% 53% 47% -31.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.1% 47% -31.3%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 36% -37.9%
15% -35.6% 25% -43.9%
20% -41.9% 18% -49.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 808 history records