Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x139f…9d45
crypto · 671 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$258 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$254 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$254
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses348 / 314
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions9
Markets (closed)662 / 671
History coverage93d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day14.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 9 History 662 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$124
7 days−$122
14 days−$122
30 days−$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 94¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 80¢ 94¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+17%)
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 71¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 46¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-7%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 50¢ 21¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-58%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 56¢ 26¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-54%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Sinja Kraus 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Mexico leading at halftime? No 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
South Africa leading at halftime? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Under 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$12 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$10 -24%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$13 +29%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$9 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$19 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$18 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$7 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$17 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$9 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$15 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$8 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$19 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$20 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$21 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$7 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$25 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$26 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +24%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $4 −$2 -44%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$248
sports 6% −$4
other 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 80¢ $2 53m
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana BUY Mary Stoiana 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 1h
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Sinja Kraus 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 151 -32.2% -38.6% 38% 36% -19.5%
≤30d 256 -6.1% -15.1% 50% 47% -13.3%
≤90d 656 -13.8% -22.0% 52% 41% -17.5%
all 662 -11.2% -19.6% 53% 41% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.6% 41% -17.0%
10% -27.3% 28% -25.0%
15% -34.3% 21% -32.2%
20% -40.8% 16% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.15 · official $11.57 (match) · 1787 history records