Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x139e…7988
crypto · 1049 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$64 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$64 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$64
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses928 / 121
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1049 / 1049
History coverage72d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day15.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1049 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$50
14 days−$79
30 days−$128
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $13 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $14 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 -2.8% -12.0% 88% 13% -13.2%
≤30d 737 -1.9% -11.2% 88% 17% -11.3%
≤90d 1049 +1.7% -8.0% 88% 21% -10.2%
all 1049 +1.7% -8.0% 88% 21% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 21% -10.2%
10% -16.8% 8% -18.8%
15% -24.9% 6% -26.6%
20% -32.2% 4% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2026 history records