trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +70.6% | +54.3% | 33% | 17% | -12.2% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +39.2% | +25.9% | 45% | 36% | -15.7% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 33% | 28% | -41.4% |
| all | 18 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 33% | 28% | -41.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.5% | 28% | -41.4% |
| 10% | -20.9% | 22% | -47.0% |
| 15% | -28.5% | 17% | -52.1% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 11% | -56.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 9¢ | 3¢ | $6,334 | $1,950 | −$4,384 (-69%) |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1,006 | $754 | −$252 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $2,039 | −$331 | -16% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2,107 | +$74 | +4% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $1,972 | −$1,922 | -98% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $5,463 | −$5,344 | -98% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1,113 | +$7,224 | +649% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $811 | −$102 | -13% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | May 31 | $343 | +$137 | +40% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? | May 27 | $907 | −$907 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $475 | −$144 | -30% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $411 | +$63 | +15% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 24 | $225 | +$186 | +83% |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13? | May 13 | $1,021 | −$150 | -15% |
| Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | May 04 | $99 | −$96 | -97% |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04? | May 04 | $1,028 | −$1,000 | -97% |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22? | Apr 22 | $1,951 | −$1,905 | -98% |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22? | Apr 22 | $1,600 | +$377 | +24% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18? | Apr 22 | $3,968 | −$3,968 | -100% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? | Apr 22 | $1,725 | −$1,689 | -98% |