trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -10.5% | -19.0% | 33% | 17% | +11.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -16.0% | -24.0% | 27% | 9% | +0.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -16.0% | -24.0% | 27% | 9% | +0.3% |
| all | 11 | -16.0% | -24.0% | 27% | 9% | +0.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.0% | 9% | +0.3% |
| 10% | -31.3% | 9% | -9.3% |
| 15% | -37.9% | 9% | -18.1% |
| 20% | -44.0% | 9% | -26.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? | Yes | 90¢ | 90¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 88¢ | 99¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+13%) |
| US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 95¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+12%) |
| Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? | Jun 22 | $34 | +$19 | +57% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | -30% |
| SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$3 | -27% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$1 | +9% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 17 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$1 | -67% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary elect | Jun 10 | $2 | −$2 | -85% |
| Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A | Jun 07 | $7 | −$1 | -21% |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | Jun 02 | $12 | +$1 | +7% |